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Expert PGA Betting Picks: FedEx St. Jude Classic

Henrik Stenson of Sweden walks from the 13th green during the second round of THE PLAYERS Championship on the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass on May 11, 2018 in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida.

Look, predicting a pre-tournament winner in golf isn’t easy. While it’s true sports bettors can find fantastic value, it’s incredibly frustrating when one of your picks doesn’t even make the cut. That’s why I’m here to help.

Every week I’ll highlight three golfers who have a good chance to win the hardware for the upcoming weekend. This week it’s the FedEx St. Jude Classic.

For a full breakdown of the tournament, check out my betting preview.

Odds courtesy of Bovada

My favorite pick: Henrik Stenson +1100

Stenson hasn’t participated in the FedEx St. Jude Classic since 2012, but I’m not concerned about his absence from the event. The layout of TPC Southwind fits Stenson to a T, and with a field comprised of only four of the top 20 players in the world rankings, the competition won’t be as stiff as it normally is for the Swede.

Need some reasoning on why you should back Stenson at +1100 this weekend? The veteran is No. 1 on the PGA Tour in fairways hit, greens in regulation and par-4 scoring. Stenson hasn’t won yet this season but the timing could be right for him to snap that drought in Memphis.

Solid value: Billy Horschel +2200

Due to his streaky nature, betting on Horschel always comes with a bit of a risk, but the payouts can be huge if you’re backing him at the right time. That time for me is now.

Horschel straight up loves playing at TPC Southwind, and his past results at the track speak for themselves. The 31-year-old has gone T-10, T-6, T-8 and T-4 with a scoring average of 68.31 at the FedEx St. Jude Classic since 2013. It’s only a matter of time before the Floridian picks up a win here.

My favorite sleeper pick: Chez Reavie +4000

Reavie hasn’t exactly been playing his best golf of late and has fallen out of the top 50 in the world rankings as a result, but don’t let that deter you from backing him at his current price of +4000. He has everything you need to win at the FedEx St. Jude Classic and then some.

In fact, Reavie held the 36-hole lead here a year ago before fading on the final day while eventually placing T-4. The American collected a T-12 at the event in 2015 and ranks third on the tour in fairways hit, T-16 in proximity and 31st in greens in regulation.

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