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The Mariners and Mike Leake are the most profitable bets in MLB

It has to be deflating for Los Angeles that Mike Trout and Albert Pujols combined for three home runs last night vs the Seattle Mariners and the Angels still lost 5-3. They now sit 5.5 games back of the AL West lead and will look to get back on the winning track tonight in the second game of the series against Mike Leake and the Mariners. L.A. opened as a slight underdog and is sending Jaime Barria to the mound, with the rookie expected to get more work now that Shohei Ohtani will be on the shelf for the foreseeable future.

  • The Mariners are 18-5 SU in their last 23 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Angels’ last 12 games.
  • The Mariners are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games at home.

For a rookie, Barria has been fairly solid for the Angels this season as he owns a 2.93 ERA in three road starts and the Angels are 3-0 SU and ATS in those games. The righty is coming off four shutout innings against the Texas Rangers in a 6-0 win at the beginning of June but he has yet to face the Mariners in his career. This will be a great test for his endurance as he has only made it past six innings once in seven starts this season and it’s worth noting that the Angels are 5-2 SU and ATS when he’s on the bump.

The Angels’ batters may be licking their chops when they see Mike Leake set to make the start for the Mariners. Leake owns a 4.75 ERA on the road and allowed home runs in five of his six road starts but the eighth-year starter may be having a mini-resurgence in the Pacific Northwest as he posted quality starts in six straight appearances and Seattle is 10-3 SU in 13 outings.  As a result, Leake and the Mariners are now the most profitable wagers in the majors. If bettors want to keep riding the lucrative Seattle wave, they should know Leake owns a 2.79 career ERA vs the Angels.

The total opened at 8 and the UNDER should be seriously considered in this tilt as the UNDER has hit in 10 of the Mariners’ last 12 games at home with an average combined score of 7.1 runs per game. The UNDER has also hit in five of the Angels’ last six games on the road with an average combined score of 7.4 runs per game.

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Seattle Mariners bring a 42-24 record to the battle against the 37-30 Angels. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Seattle vs Los Angeles injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 12 (Seattle) and No. 7 (Los Angeles) teams, according to our current MLB Power Rankings.

Statistical Matchup

Rating these teams in several key categories is important for handicappers and Seattle has baseball's No. 12-rated offensive output, at 8.73 hits per game. Los Angeles averages 8.45 hits per game, good for No. 14 on the list.

Seattle owns the No. 13 defense, allowing 3.85 men per game to cross the plate. That contrasts with Los Angeles's No. 9-rated defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Los Angeles looks to rebound from a loss to the Mariners, who beat them 5-3 on Monday behind a start from Wade LeBlanc at Safeco Field.

Betting Trends
  • Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Los Angeles is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 12 games
  • Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Seattle is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games
  • Seattle is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Los Angeles at Seattle, Wednesday, June 13