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Odds to Win the 2018 AL and NL Cy Young Awards

Odds to Win the 2018 AL and NL Cy Young Awards

There are just over 60 games remaining for all the clubs in MLB and that means crunch time for the pitchers if they want to earn a Cy Young Award. The National League favorite was a run-away train for the majority of the season but things have tightened in recent weeks and there’s one hurler eyeing his first Cy Young. Meanwhile, oddsmakers have a battle between a Yankees pitcher and a Red Sox pitcher to capture the American League award.

2018 AL Cy Young Odds: Severino remains the favorite

Luis Severino (+175) has absolutely swarmed batters this season and ranks in the top five in the AL for many of the pitching categories. Severino is 14-2 with a 2.31 ERA in a hitter-friendly AL East division. The 24-year-old has allowed three or fewer runs in 18 of his 20 starts this season, and his club, the New York Yankees, are 18-2 SU when get gets the ball. The Dominican Republican native is one win away from setting a career high, besting last season’s record of 14-6 when he finished third in Cy Young voting. In addition, he has improved his hits per nine innings from 7.0 last year to 6.8 in 2018, and his WHIP went from 1.04 to 1.01. Severino has gotten better and has his eyes locked on his first career Cy Young.

Challenging Severino is perennial Cy Young hopeful Chris Sale of the Boston Red Sox. Sale (+200) has finished in the top five in the award’s voting in five straight years but has failed to be the ultimate winner. The 29-year-old continues to elevate his game, as he currently has his best career ERA (2.23), his best career WHIP (0.90) and has his best strikeouts per nine innings ratio at 13.1 K’s/9. The one edge Severino has over Sale is the wins. The Red Sox hurler is 10-4 but his club is just 12-8 SU in his 20 trips to the mound. Could this be another season where he comes up short in the votes or is this the year that Sale earns his well-deserved Cy Young?

Here's a look at the rest of the AL Cy Young odds:

Odds to win the 2018 American League Cy young Award
Player Odds
Luis Severino (Yankees)+175
Chris Sale (Red Sox)+200
Justin Verlander (Astros)+275
Gerrit Cole (Astros)+800
Blake Snell (Rays+1000
Corey Kluber (Indians)+1000
Charlie Morton (Astros)+1400
Trevor Bauer (Indians)+2000
James Paxton (Mariners)+2500
Dallas Keuchel (Astros)+5000
Sean Manaea (Athletics)+5000

Odds as of July 20 at BetOnline

2018 NL Cy Young Odds: Scherzer hanging on to the top spot

Nationals ace Max Scherzer (-200) is on the hunt for his third consecutive NL Cy Young and fourth Cy Young overall, having won one in the AL with the Detroit Tigers in 2013. The Missouri natives’ numbers are quite similar to last year’s in which he won the Cy Young and finished 10th in the NL MVP voting. However, there have been incremental improvements from 2017 that puts him once again in the driver’s seat to pick up another award. Scherzer earned a complete-game shutout already this year, his first since 2015 and he averaging 12.2 K’s/9 which is a full strikeout higher than when he set a career high in strikeouts with 284 in 2016, he currently has 182 K’s heading into the second half.

Who can stop Scherzer you may ask? Well, Aaron Nola (+350) of the Phillies could be the man to do it. In his fourth season as a pro, Nola is having a career year that could result in an NL Cy Young award. The 25-year-old has a 12-3 record with a 2.30 ERA and is averaging 9.1 K’s/9. Nola has done a tremendous job at keeping the ball in the park when he’s on the mound averaging just 0.4 HR’s/9 for a total of just six given up all year, compared to Scherzer who has surrendered 15. In addition, the Phillies have a 14-6 record SU when Nola gets the ball, and are currently leading the NL East with their sights set on making the playoffs for the first time since 2011, while the Nats are in jeopardy of not making the playoffs. It’s hard to knock off the best but the Phillies ace is doing his best to do so.

Here's a look at the rest of the NL Cy Young odds:

Odds to win the 2018 National League Cy young Award
Player Odds
Max Scherzer (Nationals)-200
Aaron Nola (Phillies)+350
Jacob deGrom (Mets)+450
Jon Lester (Cubs)+1000
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers)+1600
Zack Greinke (Diamondbacks)+1600
Mike Foltynewicz (Braves)+2500
Stephen Strasburg (Nationals)+2500
Gio Gonzalez (Nationals)+4000
Jake Arrieta (Phillies)+4000
Michael Wacha (Cardinals)+5000

Odds as of July 20 at BetOnline

Archived Articles

As we inch closer to the midway point to the 2018 MLB season it’s a good time to take a look at who’s rising to the top for the opportunity to win the Cy Young Award. There are some familiar names on the list for both the National League and American League Cy Young odds, including former winners such as Justin Verlander, Corey Kluber and Max Scherzer. But could there be a couple of first-time winners this season?

2018 AL Cy Young Odds: Severino Leads the Pack

Luis Severino (+240) has taken another leap forward in his development, which bodes well for the New York Yankees. Severino finished third in AL Cy Young voting in 2017 after going 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA and striking out 230 batters. This season, the 24-year-old ranks first in the AL with a 1.98 ERA and has a sparkling 13-2 record. The Dominican Republic native has made improvements, increasing his K/BB ratio from 4.51 last year to 4.76 this season, and he secured his first career complete-game shutout vs Houston on May 2.

Houston Astros righty Justin Verlander (+250) vies for his second career Cy Young Award, having earned the title in 2011 while also capturing the AL MVP in the same season. The Virginia native has also been runner-up in the voting twice, in 2012 and 2016. This season, Verlander is in the top five for the big statistical categories such as ERA, strikeouts and WHIP. The 35-year-old holds a 9-4 record with a 2.15 ERA while fanning 154 batters and leads the AL with a 0.84 WHIP. However, Verlander has surrendered 11 runs on 28.2 innings over his last three starts, so it’ll be interesting to watch how the experienced hurler handles the hot Houston days that lie ahead.

The ’Stros rotation is a murderers’ row as they have another starter in the hunt for the prized award in Gerrit Cole at +350. The 27-year-old finds himself just on the outside of the top pitchers in the AL, sporting a 9-2 record with a 2.70 ERA and 158 strikeouts. The California native finished fourth in the NL Cy Young voting in 2015 when he went 19-8 with a 2.60 ERA with Pittsburgh. This is Cole’s first season in the AL and he has taken the league by storm.

Odds to win the 2018 American League Cy Young Award
Player Odds
Luis Severino (NYY)+240
Justin Verlander (HOU) +250
Corey Kluber (CLE)+270
Gerrit Cole (HOU)+350
Chris Sale (BOS)+375
Trevor Bauer (CLE)+1500
Charlie Morton (HOU)+2800
Blake Snell (TB)+3300

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

2018 NL Cy Young Odds: Scherzer the Man to Beat

Since 2013 there hasn’t been anyone more dominant than the Washington Nationals’ Max Scherzer (-600). The Missouri native captured his first of three Cy Young Awards in 2013 when he was a member of the Detroit Tigers, then signed with the Nats after the 2014 season. In his first season with his new club, he threw two no-hitters and finished fifth in the NL Cy Young voting. More recently, the 33-year-old has won back-to-back Cy Young Awards in 2016 and 2017 and now looks to become the fifth player in MLB history to win four or more titles.

This season, Scherzer is 10-5 with a 2.16 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP while striking out an incredible 174 batters, 34 more than Patrick Corbin, who’s second in the NL with 140. Scherzer is fanning 13 batters per nine innings, which is 1.8 more K/9 than 2016 when he set a career high with 284 strikeouts.

If anyone can contest Scherzer for the NL Cy Young, it is the New York Mets’ Jacob deGrom. The Mets ace is 5-4 with a sparkling 1.84 ERA and sits third in the NL with 134 strikeouts. The 30-year-old is having a career year with his highest K/9 ratio at 11.2 and is allowing his fewest hits against with a hit/9 ratio of 6.8. The biggest knock on the Florida native is his record but that can be attributed to playing on a Mets team that ranks 27th in runs this season and has a 34-49 record in 2018. DeGrom’s best win percentage came in 2015 (.636, 14-8 record) when the club went to the World Series.

Odds to win the 2018 National League Cy young Award
Player Odds
Max Scherzer (WAS)-600
Jacob deGrom (NYM)+300
Jon Lester (CHC)+700
Aaron Nola (PHI)+800
Sean Newcomb (ATL)+4000
Carlos Martinez (STL)+5000

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

Archived Articles

The Cy Young Award has been relatively predictable the last several seasons and two months into the season plenty of the typical names find themselves in the mix. The likes of Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, Chris Sale and Jacob deGrom litter the odds to win the National League and American League Cy Young Awards.

However, with the MLB season being absurdly long, there is still plenty of value for bettors who want to take the favorites or find their favorite sleeper picks. Here is a look at both the NL and AL Cy Young Award races two months in the season.

2018 AL Cy Young Odds

If you could give the Cy Young to an entire rotation, then the Houston Astros would already have this award locked up. The trio of Justin Verlander (+200), Gerrit Cole (+600) and Charlie Morton (+1200) have all been pitching at an absurdly high level for the Astros.

All three of the Houston starters are sitting in the top 10 in the MLB in ERA and WHIP while Verlander and Cole are in the top four in strikeouts. The undisputed leader is Verlander, who has pitched arguably the best games of his career since joining the Astros and having the pitching coaches tweak his mechanics.

A lot of people will be hesitant to back the 35-year-old Verlander due to his age and the sheer length of the season – nobody can keep pitching as well as he has that long. But Verlander has only been on the DL once in his career, has started at least 30 games in 12 of his 13 seasons and is averaging fewer pitches per start this season than he did in his MVP campaign in 2011.

It may not be the deepest sleeper but Corey Kluber (+500) is putting up Cy Young-worthy numbers in Cleveland. The Indians ace is actually on pace to match or eclipse most of the numbers he posted last season when he won the AL Cy Young. Kluber is third in baseball in WAR for pitchers, seventh in ERA and second in innings pitched. If you are done fawning over the Astros starting rotation, look at getting in on Kluber now.

2018 AL CY Young Winner Odds
PlayerOdds
Justin Verlander (Astros)+200
Corey Kluber (Indians)+500
Chris Sale (Red Sox)+500
Gerrit Cole (Astros)+600
Luis Severino (Yankees)+1000
Charlie Morton (Astros)+1200
Carlos Carrasco (Indians)+2000
Trevor Bauer (Indians)+2000
James Paxton (Mariners)+2000
David Price (Red Sox)+2000
Dallas Keuchel (Astros)+2500
Masahiro Tanaka (Yankees)+3300
Chris Archer (Rays)+3300
Blake Snell (Rays)+3300
Sean Manaea (Athletics)+3300
Jake Odorizzi (Twins)+5000
Daniel Mengden (Athletics)+5000
Reynaldo Lopez (White Sox)+5000

Odds as of May 29 at BetOnline

2018 NL Cy Young Odds

To the shock of nobody, Max Scherzer (+200) sits in the top three in the NL in ERA, WHIP, WAR for pitchers, strikeouts and innings pitched. In fact, the Washington Nationals workhorse might actually be pitching better than he has the past two seasons – a feat considering he won the NL Cy Young both seasons.

If Scherzer can continue this pace, he is a shoo-in to join the incredibly illustrious group of pitchers to win three Cy Youngs in a row. The only other two pitchers to accomplish that feat were Greg Maddux and Randy Johnson. It’s hard to think of a reason for Scherzer to slow down either, with his reputation for consistently producing long, shutdown outings on the bump.

The top sleeper in the NL remains Patrick Corbin (+2500). The southpaw just is not getting the recognition he deserves this season despite being seventh in the NL in ERA, first in WHIP and second in strikeouts. Corbin has largely scrapped his ineffective changeup he forced last season and has started using a slow, winding curveball in its place. This change has quietly made Corbin the ace of the Arizona Diamondbacks staff.

2018 NL CY Young Winner Odds
PlayerOdds
Max Scherzer (Nationals)+200
Jacob deGrom (Mets)+400
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers)+1000
Aaron Nola (Phillies)+1000
Gio Gonzalez (Nationals)+1000
Madison Bumgarner (Giants)+1200
Stephen Strasburg (Nationals)+1400
Jake Arrieta (Phillies)+2000
Mike Foltynewicz (Braves)+2000
Kyle Hendricks (Cubs)+2000
Zack Greinke (Diamondbacks)+2000
Miles Mikolas (Cardinals)+2500
Jon Lester (Cubs)+2500
Patrick Corbin (Diamondbacks)+2500
Sean Newcomb (Braves)+2800
Michael Wacha (Cardinals)+2800
Noah Syndergaard (Mets)+2800
Julio Teheran (Braves)+4000
Alex Wood (Dodgers)+5000

Odds as of May 29 at BetOnline

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